by Denis Campbell
While the Presidential contest gets the most press, the race for control of both houses of the US Congress and state governorships is equally critical to whoever becomes the new President. 60 in the Senate is such an important number because that is the number of votes required to halt/prevent crippling filibusters which [...]
Senate Dems Race to 60 Seats
Posted on 15 October 2008 by Denis Campbell | Comments (0) | Tags: 1/3 of the 100 member, 51 Senator majority coalition, 6-year termed Senate seats. up for re-election, 60, 7th 6-year term at age 85, Al Franken, Alaska, Alaska’s current Governor and Republican Vice President, Anchorage Mayor, Bill Clinton, Bruce Lundsford, caucus with the Democrats, colorado, constitutional tie-breaking vote for the Republicans, Democrat Jeff Merkley, Denis Campbell, equally critical to whoever becomes the new President, former KS Senate majority leader, George Bush, Georgia, Governor Barbour, Governor Bill Richardson, Governor Jeanne Shaheen, governor Ronnie Musgrove, huge repudiation defeat for Sarah Palin, important number, Jim Gilmore, Jim Jeffords of VT, Joe Lieberman of CT, John Sununu, Kentucky, long-time Republican Senator John Warner, Maine, Mark Begich, Mark Udall, Mark Warner, McCain, Mike Gravel in 1974, Minnesota, Mississippi, Mitch McConnell, Mo Udall, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Norm Coleman, North Carolina, obama, Oregon, Pete Domenici, race for control of both houses of the US Congress, required to halt/prevent crippling filibusters, Roger Wicker, Senate, Senate Dems Race to 60 Seats, Senator Elizabeth Dole, Senator Gordon Smith, son of the former Bush Sr. Chief of staff, state governorships, state Senator Kay Hagan, strained by Lieberman’s very public support of John McC, Susan Collins, Ted Stevens, Tom Udall, tough fight from Tom Allan, Trent Lott resigned suddenly, two Independent Senators, very angry, Vice President, Virginia, VP candidate Bob Dole, Wayne Allard
300-Plus Electoral Votes is Possible for Obama
Posted on 04 October 2008 by Denis Campbell | Comments (0) | Tags: 1-month left, 11 September 2001, 3-minure media cycle, 300-Plus Electoral Votes Possible for Obama, 325-213 to Obama, 50-statewide winner-takes-all contests, 538 electoral votes, 57-state and territory organisations, Alaska and the District of Columbia have 3 votes each, angry, Arkansas, attack the character of Obama, attacked when needed, attacking Obama’s inexperience is not working, base loves her, battlegrounds, buckets full of cash on hand, California biggest prize with 55, calm, candidate is running out of money, clinton, cold flop sweat, collected, colorado, community organiser, cool, daily national tracking polls mean little, deliberate, Democratic state governments, Denis Campbell, desperate old man, earn their 7-figure salaries peddling influence, everyone else is terrified, expect the 527 group ‘Swift Boat squads’ to throw every, failure will then have only one author John McCain, final EV prediction, first person to 270 wins, force him off issues-based solid ground, frenetic, gambling approach, George Bush beat John Kerry 286-252, Georgia, good job of anticipating attacks and swatting them asid, GOP stronghold since Lyndon Johnson signed the Civil Ri, gravy train lobbyist staff will parachute to safety, green is purple, ground game, ground game of Senator Obama, gruelling Hillary Clinton primary experience, Hail Mary pass downfield, helping Obama, independent states, interesting contests, July and August his funds went to building the field or, keep your eyes closed… and picture Sarah Palin sitting, know exactly what to do to punch the ball into the end-, knows nothing trumps SPIN better than face-to-face answ, looked anything but Presidential in his choices, map’s mid-section was solid red in 2004, McCain, McCain has lost his cool, McCain operatives conceded Michigan, McCain/Republican SPIN doctors that worked so smoothly, Montana The ‘New West’, neither ‘trophy’ partner can dig him out of the hole, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, November 4th, obama, Obama could be headed to a landslide victory, Ohio and Florida, outspending Senator McCain 3:1 (see chart), played a solid if not boring game, played patient game, point fingers as the Clinton team did, pointed, popular governors, powerful jabs and combinations to the mid-section, president is in the air unable to land, pulling advertising and staff out, run from the room screaming, Sarah Palin is an unmitigated disaster as VP choice, softening him up, sound pathetic, South, South Carolina, support Obama over McCain by 61% - 30%, targeted add buys, trumping the kitchen sink, two controversial states from 2000 and 2004, tying McCain to Bush, Virginia, VP Cheney is in the secure bunker underneath the White, Wall Street Journal poll of “new” voters, will convince you they know it is, winning over mad-dog, you’re an idiot for not seeing it
by Denis Campbell
My EU media colleagues have a hard time understanding that daily national tracking polls mean little. On November 4th, voters will enter and cast ballots in 50-statewide winner-takes-all contests. There are 538 electoral votes up for grabs, this is how the race is decided and the first person to 270 votes wins. California [...]
They’re All Bloody Swing States!
Posted on 09 September 2008 by Denis Campbell | Comments (0) | Tags: 22 months, cannot have both candidates together on the road for th, Chuck Todd, CNN, colorado, cool new toy from Microsoft, decision '08, demanding access, easy to classify the races as urban vs. rural, eighteen state strategy, election is a dead heat, electoral map, fairly well grounded prognosticator, Florida, GOP stronghold states, hot-spots, lo-tech dry erase white board, master of polls, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, moved decidedly Democratic, MSM, NBC political director, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, obama, Ohio, Pennsylvania, rivals Anderson Cooper, Sarah Palin, South Carolina, survives the scrutiny and arrogance of her own party, Swing States, Tim Russert, too close to call, Virginia, white vs. black, Wisconsin
Tim Russert and his lo-tech dry erase white board will not be with us this election night. Chuck Todd, NBC political director, master of polls and fairly well grounded prognosticator has a cool new toy from MSNBC’s partners at Microsoft. It rivals the cool touch screen Anderson Cooper plays with over at CNN.
The problem, [...]
Where’s my Veep Text Message Dude?
Posted on 23 August 2008 by Denis Campbell | Comments (0) | Tags: 72-hours, Ann Richards’, Architectural Digest, called it for Biden, camped outside the doors of three people, deke fake, Delaware, Denver, disciplined news management efforts, equal parts anticipation and teasing, Evan Bayh, every news organisation, fake pizza deliveries, fears being scooped, five weeks, gardening, great humour, Illlinois, impact each potential Veep pick to online gaming, Iniana, jangling house key rings, Joe Biden, McCain, media’s pack of baying wolves, obama, paparazzi stakeout, Saturday afternoon, Sedona home, sprint to the finish, thinks they know, three presidential debates, Tim Kaine, two conventions, Veep Text Message, vice presidential debate, Virginia, World Poker Tour magazine, yogurt selection, “but where was George?”, “how many houses do you own?”
The media’s pack of baying wolves have been camped outside the doors of three people for the last 72-hours wondering who is The One? In one of the most extraordinarily disciplined news management efforts of equal parts anticipation and teasing, the families of Indiana’s Evan Bayh, Virginia’s Tim Kaine and Delaware’s Joe Biden are sequestered [...]
Obama Dominating the ‘Cool Stuff’ Race
Posted on 21 July 2008 by Denis Campbell | Comments (0) | Tags: 18 swing states, 5:1 cool lead, Alaska, Bob Barr, Bush stronghold states, colorado, commemorative art, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, McCain, merchandises, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Dakota, obama, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Ralph Nader, Virginia, websites, Wisconsin
Forget global tours and best global warming policy. The real race this fall is the ‘chatzky’ race – which candidate has and sells the best ‘stuff’ on their website. In that key race Team Obama has a 5:1 merchandising lead. His well organised field staff knows how to blanket and flog every area to raise [...]
















































