by Charley James
Poll analyst wunderkinder Nate Silver teams up with Markos Moulitsos of Daily Kos today to discover the public option enjoys the support of a majority of voters in all but one Blue Dog district.
Moreover, despite the pronouncements of Blue Dog Democrats in the House and Senate – as well as by Republicans – [...]
New Study: Public Option Popular In Blue Dog Districts, Across Nation
Posted on 22 September 2009 by Charley James | Comments (0) | Tags: Blue Dog Democrats, Charley James, fivethirtyeight.com, The Daily Kos
As Japan Goes in UK Labour’s Summer or Discontent - Is a Tory Win Assured?
Posted on 31 August 2009 by Denis Campbell | Comments (0) | Tags: Afghanistan, Conservative leader David Cameron, Daily Kos, Danyl Johnson, David Cameron, demconwatchblog.com, Diet, Expense-gate, fivethirtyeight.com, Gordon Brown, ICM/Mirror poll, Japan, Labour, Lib Dems, MP expenses row, Nate Silver, Nick Clegg, Prime Minister Gordon Brown, Susan Boyle, The Telegraph, UK media, X-Factor
Last night Japan’s ruling party lost control of the Diet by a 3:1 margin. Labour Prime Minister Gordon Brown escaped the UK and spent the weekend in Afghanistan. Is this where we are? The PM must go to a war zone to get some peace? As Japan goes, so goes Labour in 2010?
Mr. Brown has [...]
Toxic Spill on Aisle 3, Bring Chlorine
Posted on 13 November 2008 by Denis Campbell | Comments (0) | Tags: 000 vote lead disappear, 000 votes to count, 3, 90, Alaska, banana republic with nukes, Bring Chlorine, Caribou Barbie, Chambliss ran adverts equating Cleland with Osama bin L, Cleland a war hero left three limbs on the battlefield, convicted felon for a Senator, D-Max Cleland, Denis Campbell, election, fear fear fear…, federal convict Ted Stevens, fivethirtyeight.com, Garrison Keillor’s state, Georgia, get final vote count correct in 49 other state with 4/1, getting out of hand, GOP mantra, great election, he now trails by 3 VOTES!, incumbent Republican Senator, irregularities, Keith Olbermann, Lake Woebegone, mandatory recount under Minnesota law, Minnesota, miss the Alaskan count by 20 percentage points?, Nate Silver, peace-keeping forces, R-Norm Coleman, Rachel Maddow, replay the NBC Decision ’08 theme song and graphics, Republicans despatching 120 lawyers to recount sites, Sarah Palin, Saxby Chambliss, sitting governor is on the ballot as a Vice Presidentia, still parts of the gene pool in need of chlorination, Toxic Spill, über statistician, UN inspectors to Alaska Minnesota and Georgia, voter turnout actually go DOWN, why an 84-year old felon even won this election?
By Denis Campbell
It was a great election (duh-dum) wasn’t it? A new Democratic President (duh-dum), bigger majorities in the House and Senate (duh-duh-duh-duh-duh-duh-duh… duhdadeeee) and nothing can go wrong… AEEIIIIIII!!!!! Apologies to John Williams, Peter Benchley and the cast of Jaws, what the heck is going on in the Senate?!?
OK, it was cute that both [...]
A Punter’s (Gambler’s for US Readers) Paradise
Posted on 27 October 2008 by Denis Campbell | Comments (0) | Tags: baseball, Chicago Cubbies, Denis Campbell, fivethirtyeight.com, McCain, Nate Silver, obama, Philadelphia Phillies, Sunday polls, Tampa Bay Rays, Zogby
by Denis Campbell
Had you placed an Obama to win bet in February you would have gotten much better odds than today. Now the long-shot bet is McCain since he has only a 3% chance of winning. The Sunday polls are crunched by über statistical wonk Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com’s. As of this moment he predicts [...]
















































